Saturday 27 May 2017

Terrorism_Reading Memo

The most intriguing question that struck me this week came while I was reading Caitriona Dowd and Adam Drury’s article that compares Boko Haram and the Lord’s Resistance Army (LRA). That question is: what drives an insurgency group to adopt suicide bombing tactics? Why does Boko Haram employ this tactic, but the LRA does not? Unfortunately, Dowd and Drury do not delve into this. However, they do mention that, in general, the tactical evolution of both groups has been driven by “the groups’ perceived, short-term necessity to punish enemies and project power.” This explanation is far too vague and imprecise, especially considering that the adoption of suicide attacks represents such a dramatic shift in tactics.
            In the minds of most people, the tactic of suicide bombing is linked with religious extremism. Since 2001, most terror attacks that make headlines in the Western world are committed by Muslims who profess a religious motivation for their actions. Thus, it is apparent that religion is what motivates the adoption of suicide bombing. Boko Haram is an Islamic fundamentalist group, therefore they must have begun employing suicide bombers because of the religious nature of the organization. I am not convinced by this argument. Like Boko Haram, Dowd and Drury describe the LRA as having articulated a religious/ideological narrative in order to garner early support. Since both insurgencies are intertwined with religion it is difficult to ascribe the adoption of suicide attacks by Boko Haram strictly to a religious motivation.
            Yet, unlike Boko Haram, the LRA is not an Islamic fundamentalist group. Perhaps it is Islamic fundamentalism in particular that drives insurgency groups to adopt suicide bombing. In fact, Islamic terrorist groups have been responsible for most of the suicide attacks since 9/11.[1] Certainly this demonstrates correlation, but it does not prove causality. Suicide attacks are not limited to Islamic fundamentalist groups. The Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE), the Kurdistan Worker’s Party, and the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine are all examples of secular terrorist organizations that have employed suicide attacks. The LTTE has been particularly prolific. It carried out the most suicide attacks of any terrorist organization between 1980 and 2003.[2]
With this in mind, I do not think it is specifically religion that motivates the adoption of suicide attacks. Religion is an ideology and it is ideology that motivates suicide attacks. The stronger an ideology is, the more likely it is that followers of that ideology will be willing to die for it. Islamic fundamentalism is a particularly powerful ideology that allows no compromise. Hence, it follows that this ideology played a part in Boko Haram’s adoption of suicide attacks and that, comparatively, the LRA must not possess as strong of an ideological underpinning as Boko Haram does.
An alternative hypothesis is that Boko Haram’s adoption of suicide attacks was more motivated by the advantages they offer rather than the strength of their ideology. Compared to more conventional terror tactics, suicide attacks are inexpensive, are easier to execute, are more likely to succeed, and are extremely lethal.[3] They also generate a huge amount of press coverage. These are all reasons that could have played into Boko Haram’s adoption of suicide attacks. Then again, if suicide attacks offer so many advantages, why have the LRA not begun utilizing them? This is clearly an area for further research, and Dowd and Drury do mention that work is being done on the issue of suicide bombing.
The next question I would like to discuss was raised by Marc-Antoine Pérouse de Montclos at the very end of his article: is the “challenge of jihad in Africa…an opportunity to improve governance”? Undoubtedly, the answer is yes. But that answer is contingent on some caveats, specifically, it depends on how the state chooses to combat terrorism. For instance, if the state chooses to “kill a mosquito with a hammer” as the Kenyan government has chosen to do, the result will not be a modernized and more democratic government. The Kenyan government is acting in a totalitarian manner when it conducts programs like the Usalama Watch, when it ignores human rights, and when it allows corruption and abuse of power to continue unchecked. Totally ignoring the rights of their Somalian population is not conducive to further modernizing or democratizing the Kenyan government. By choosing to react in a totalitarian manner to the threat of Al-Shabaab, the Kenyan government has actually weakened itself by undermining the security of and alienating its Somali and Muslim population, which has pushed them into the arms of Al-Shabaab. Al-Shabaab is now stronger and more of a threat to destabilize the Kenyan state.
Conversely, modernizing and democratizing states are solid counter-terrorism policies. To defeat an insurgency, the state must seek the moral high-ground and become a paragon of justice. It cannot abuse human rights or allow corruption to have free reign. It must enact policies and programs that seek to care for and protect its citizens. It must become more inclusive, allowing minority groups to have a say in the future of the state. These actions are important because if the terrorist organization cannot convince the population that the government is their enemy, the organization loses much of its power. I think many insurgencies originate from the failure of the state to provide for their citizens. Therefore, through modernization and democratization states can combat terrorism.




[1] Bruce Hoffman, Inside Terrorism: Revised and Expanded Edition (New York: Columbia University Press, 2006), 131.
[2] Robert A. Pape, Dying to Win: The Strategic Logic of Suicide Terrorism (New York: Random House, 2005), 16.
[3] Hoffman, Inside Terrorism, 132.

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